Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.018368 0.019812 0.021315 0.022997 0.024828 0.026762 0.028962
2025-10-26 0.015882 0.017942 0.020200 0.022860 0.025918 0.029327 0.033429
2025-11-02 0.014280 0.016696 0.019445 0.022814 0.026847 0.031535 0.037424
2025-11-09 0.012906 0.015507 0.018558 0.022418 0.027192 0.032935 0.040411
2025-11-16 0.011805 0.014517 0.017781 0.022021 0.027418 0.034104 0.043082
2025-11-23 0.011038 0.013857 0.017328 0.021947 0.027981 0.035657 0.046262
2025-11-30 0.010340 0.013221 0.016844 0.021771 0.028359 0.036945 0.049120
2025-12-07 0.009755 0.012686 0.016442 0.021653 0.028773 0.038264 0.052054
2025-12-14 0.009213 0.012170 0.016024 0.021473 0.029066 0.039405 0.054773
2025-12-21 0.008814 0.011815 0.015794 0.021520 0.029654 0.040957 0.058133
2025-12-28 0.008395 0.011409 0.015466 0.021401 0.029986 0.042144 0.061008
2026-01-04 0.008045 0.011076 0.015217 0.021373 0.030431 0.043496 0.064181
2026-01-11 0.007702 0.010751 0.014981 0.021375 0.030957 0.045052 0.067853
2026-01-18 0.007370 0.010424 0.014728 0.021339 0.031427 0.046553 0.071550
2026-01-25 0.007066 0.010123 0.014493 0.021312 0.031898 0.048071 0.075357
2026-02-01 0.006692 0.009699 0.014053 0.020946 0.031820 0.048716 0.077773
2026-02-08 0.006346 0.009299 0.013629 0.020579 0.031709 0.049291 0.080088
2026-02-15 0.006103 0.009042 0.013408 0.020511 0.032063 0.050619 0.083740
2026-02-22 0.005853 0.008763 0.013137 0.020348 0.032248 0.051670 0.086969
2026-03-01 0.005632 0.008519 0.012909 0.020238 0.032509 0.052853 0.090488
2026-03-08 0.005412 0.008266 0.012654 0.020070 0.032659 0.053845 0.093718
2026-03-15 0.005254 0.008103 0.012533 0.020114 0.033164 0.055468 0.098188
2026-03-22 0.005071 0.007892 0.012326 0.020004 0.033395 0.056617 0.101841